SMAC Markets

Daily Soybean Report

Friday, October 23, 2026
CBOT Soybeans Nov
1253-0
+7-6 (+0.62%)
Soybean Meal Dec
347.3
-1.0 (-0.29%)
Soybean Oil Dec
66.74
+0.77 (+1.17%)
Dalian Beans
5,391
+31
Palm Oil
4,551
+29

The Market in 20 Seconds

Key Driver
2.84 MMT export sales report
Watch
Crude oil, Monday's crop progress, China purchases
Sam’s Take

2.84 million tons took the market by surprise: a million of it was business nobody announced and it lands as harvest pressure starts to run out of puff - 64% a week ago with the combines through the bulk of it by Monday's crop progress report. Oil up 1.2% on Brent at $112 gave it a leg up, but the palm glut caps vegoil into Southeast Asia and India. Wednesday's 1245-2 could form a temporary low as harvest pressure subsides and the China program continues while energy prices stay elevated.

Market Commentary

Export Sales Print 2.84 MMT and the Market Buys It

Futures

Futures. November rose 7-6 to 1253-0, up 0.6%, led by the front end with November 2027 off 0-4, recovering Wednesday's drop to 1245-2. Oil led the complex, December up 0.77 at 66.74, a gain of 1.2% with Brent at a five-month high. Meal went the other way on the spread, December down 1.0 at 347.3 with the deferreds flat. Corn eased 2-6 to 460-4.

Export Sales

Export Sales. Net sales of 2.841 MMT for the week to October 15, the high end of the 1.8-3.0 MMT range, more than four times the prior week and 171% above last year. The daily system had flagged 1.877 MMT of it, so nearly a million tons was private business that never hit the wire. Meal sales of 242,168 MT fell short of the 250,000-650,000 MT range; oil was 916 MT. USDA added another 202,000 MT to China on Thursday morning.

South American Supply

South American Supply. ABIOVE puts Brazil's 2027 crush at 66 MMT, up 2.4 MMT, with exports at 113 MMT, down 0.9 MMT.

Vegoil

Vegoil. Palm oil is sitting about $100 a ton under soyoil and $300 under sunflower, with Indian buyers taking 20,000-30,000 MT a day into Diwali and Malaysia sitting on record stocks. Malaysia is considering waiving its crude palm duty and Indonesia's levy may fall in November.

Hormuz/Energy

Hormuz/Energy. Brent hit $112, a five-month high, after the IRGC said it set four vessels ablaze in the northern Gulf and three more struck mines west of Hormuz, Houthis hit Dammam airport and the Shaybah oilfield, and Aramco sent its Dhahran headquarters staff home to work remotely. The US has ordered diplomats and families out of Saudi Arabia.

What's Ahead

Week of Oct 19 – 23, 2026
Mon 19
USDA Export Inspections
US Crop Progress
Tue 20
—
Wed 21
—
Thu 22
US Weekly Export Sales
Fri 23
CFTC COT Positioning

Charts

CBOT Soybeans Nov 2026 (ZSN6)
Soybean Meal Dec 2026 (ZMN6)
Soybean Oil Dec 2026 (ZLN6)
Soybean / Corn Ratio (ZS/ZC)
Meal / Oil Ratio (ZM/ZL)

Settlement Prices

ContractSettleChange% Change
Nov 26 (ZSX26)1253-0+7-6+0.62%
Jan 27 (ZSF27)1264-6+6-4+0.52%
Mar 27 (ZSH27)1271-4+5-2+0.41%
May 27 (ZSK27)1278-6+4-2+0.33%
Jul 27 (ZSN27)1284-0+3-2+0.25%
Aug 27 (ZSQ27)1268-0+2-2+0.18%
Sep 27 (ZSU27)1236-6+1-0+0.08%
Nov 27 (ZSX27)1228-2-0-4-0.04%
Jan 28 (ZSF28)1239-6-0-6-0.06%
Mar 28 (ZSH28)1238-2-1-0-0.08%
ContractSettleChange% Change
Dec 26 (ZMZ26)347.3-1.0-0.29%
Jan 27 (ZMF27)345.4-0.5-0.14%
Mar 27 (ZMH27)344.3+0.0+0.0%
May 27 (ZMK27)345.7+0.2+0.06%
Jul 27 (ZMN27)348.9+0.2+0.06%
Aug 27 (ZMQ27)346.6+0.1+0.03%
Sep 27 (ZMU27)343.4+0.0+0.0%
Oct 27 (ZMV27)339.4-0.2-0.06%
Dec 27 (ZMZ27)341.7+0.0+0.0%
Jan 28 (ZMF28)342.1+0.1+0.03%
ContractSettleChange% Change
Dec 26 (ZLZ26)66.74+0.77+1.17%
Jan 27 (ZLF27)66.95+0.81+1.22%
Mar 27 (ZLH27)67.20+0.82+1.24%
May 27 (ZLK27)67.44+0.82+1.23%
Jul 27 (ZLN27)67.45+0.82+1.23%
Aug 27 (ZLQ27)66.99+0.82+1.24%
Sep 27 (ZLU27)66.48+0.84+1.28%
Oct 27 (ZLV27)65.89+0.81+1.24%
Dec 27 (ZLZ27)65.64+0.84+1.3%
Jan 28 (ZLF28)65.46+0.85+1.32%
Spread Open High Low Close Volume
ZSK7-ZSN7 -0.75 -0.5 -1.75 -1.5 1,926
ZSN7-ZSQ7 19.5 20.0 18.75 19.25 891
ZSQ7-ZSU7 44.0 44.25 42.25 42.75 231
ZSU7-ZSX7 16.0 16.75 14.25 15.0 228
ZSX7-ZSF8 -9.75 -9.5 -10.0 -9.5 92
ZMK7-ZMN7 -0.4 -0.3 -1.0 -0.8 2,413
ZMN7-ZMQ7 4.0 4.0 3.1 3.4 774
ZLK7-ZLN7 0.09 0.13 0.06 0.14 644
ZLN7-ZLQ7 0.52 0.58 0.5 0.58 125

International Markets — DCE & MDEX

Dalian DCE No.1 Soybean
ContractSettle (CNY/t)Change% Change
XTX6 — Nov 265,391+31+0.58%
XTF7 — Jan 275,432+33+0.61%
XTH7 — Mar 275,449+34+0.63%
XTK7 — May 275,555+36+0.65%
XTN7 — Jul 275,538+35+0.64%

CNY/t  |  Dalian Commodity Exchange

MDEX Crude Palm Oil
ContractSettle (MYR/t)Change% Change
KOX6 — Nov 264,551+29+0.64%
KOZ6 — Dec 264,695+33+0.71%
KOF7 — Jan 274,792+25+0.52%
KOG7 — Feb 274,885+17+0.35%
KOH7 — Mar 274,967+10+0.20%

MYR/t  |  Malaysia Derivatives Exchange

Managed Money (Funds) — Net Positions

CFTC Disaggregated COT · Options & Futures Combined · As of October 13, 2026

Contract Long Short Net Position Chg (wk)
Soybeans (CBOT) OI 1,329,482 272,905 35,414 +237,491 -14,169
Soybean Meal (CBOT) OI 742,046 212,946 6,815 +206,131 -672
Soybean Oil (CBOT) OI 638,230 116,449 27,121 +89,328 -10,119
Corn (CBOT) OI 2,519,671 321,331 90,454 +230,877 -86,481
Wheat SRW (CBOT) OI 608,955 85,818 118,856 -33,038 -3,495